Month: February 2017

February 21, 2017 Charlie Norell

Suppose you want to diagnose, predict future development or treat a particular patient. The reference class problem is this: Which population is most appropriate for these tasks? The reference class problem is hardwired. After spending a huge amount of research time, I get the impression that a satisfying solution is not even close. However, I…

February 13, 2017 Charlie Norell

I very much enjoyed a recent article on cholesterol in New Scientist by Michael Brooks, which is based on his personal experiences with statins. I’d recommend the article as a whole, but the point that really grabbed me was the following quote:   “After two years on statins I had stopped going to the gym. I gave up running. I cut down on swimming. I…